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Small Business Marketing: Why Consistent Content Works Better Than Going Viral

Ben Van AkenCo-Founder & CTO6 min read

A contractor near Ghent showed us a video on his phone. Not his own — a competitor’s. A bathroom renovation cut to music, with a view count his account had never come close to. He had been posting twice a week for a year. He wanted to know what the competitor had worked out that he had not.

The likeliest answer is nothing. That is not a consolation prize. It is the finding, it is well evidenced, and once you accept it the question of what to do with your social media gets simpler and considerably cheaper.

The typical post does almost nothing, and that is normal

Buffer analysed 1.7 million posts from 56,000 users across X, Threads and Bluesky. On X, the median post received 4 engagements. The mean was 328.

Sit with that gap for a moment. The average is 82 times the typical result. Not because most posts do reasonably well and a few do brilliantly — because almost every post lands near zero, and a tiny number travel far enough to drag the arithmetic mean somewhere no ordinary post ever goes. Buffer describe the distribution as skewed towards zero. The same shape repeats elsewhere: Threads showed a median of 5 against a mean of 58, Bluesky a median of 3 against a mean of 21.

Buffer’s analysis of 1.7 million posts across X, Threads and Bluesky

This is why the bathroom video is a bad thing to plan around. It is not a repeatable method. It is one draw from a distribution where nearly every draw is small — and the person who drew it usually cannot tell you why it happened, which is worth remembering the next time somebody offers to sell you the formula.

You control how often you turn up. You do not control how far any single post travels. Build the plan out of the first one.

Turning up is the part that compounds

Buffer ran a second study across more than 100,000 users and ten platforms over 26 weeks. Instead of counting posts, they counted weeks — how many of the 26 contained at least one post — and then compared median engagement per post between the groups.

Accounts that posted in 5 to 19 of the 26 weeks got roughly 340% more engagement per post than accounts managing four weeks or fewer. Accounts that posted in 20 or more of the 26 weeks got about 450% more.

Note how they measured it. Medians, chosen deliberately so that a handful of viral posts could not distort the result. That matters: the compounding effect of showing up survives once the outliers are stripped out. The outliers themselves are exactly what you cannot plan for.

Buffer: the consistent posting study (100,000+ users, 26 weeks, 10 platforms)

The jump that matters is the first one

Put the two figures next to each other — 340% and 450% — and the interesting number is the distance between them. Buffer put it at about 26%. Highly consistent accounts do beat merely consistent ones, but by a margin that looks small beside the gap between consistent and sporadic.

For an owner who is already stretched, that is the most useful sentence in either study. Your expensive problem is not the difference between four posts a week and seven. It is the difference between a calendar with something in it most weeks and a calendar with a five-week hole in it every time a big order lands. The first gap is worth a great deal. The second is worth comparatively little, and it is the one people exhaust themselves chasing.

This is not an argument for posting less

It would be convenient to land on post less, post better. The data does not support that, and I am not going to pretend otherwise. Every large dataset I have seen points the same way: in aggregate, accounts that post more grow more. Volume works.

What volume does not do is make any individual post land. Those are two separate claims and they get muddled constantly. Chasing virality is a bad bet not because posting a lot is bad, but because the outcome of any single post is not something you control — so a strategy built around producing a hit is a strategy built on a variable you cannot move. That is optimising noise.

None of it is getting easier, either. Metricool’s 2026 Instagram study looked at 24,364,803 posts from 375,118 accounts and found that only 21% of accounts under 10,000 followers grew. Four in five small accounts went sideways or backwards. If yours is one of them, you are not doing something uniquely wrong — but you should not expect one good video to fix it either.

Metricool’s 2026 Instagram study (24 million posts, 375,118 accounts)

What to build instead

The practical version of all this is dull, which is rather the point.

  1. Pick a cadence you can hold in your worst month, not your best one. If that is three posts a week, plan three — a plan you abandon in March is worth less than a smaller one you keep to December.
  2. Judge the month first on whether every week had something in it. Only then look at the engagement numbers.
  3. Measure at account level over quarters, not at post level over days. One post’s performance is mostly noise; ninety days of trend is signal.
  4. Keep making things you would be glad to have made even if only a few dozen people saw them, because that is the ordinary outcome and the ordinary outcome is what your plan has to survive.
  5. When something does take off, treat it as a windfall rather than as evidence. Note the format, keep the calendar.

The constraint is never knowledge

Nobody is stuck because they had not heard that consistency matters. They are stuck because holding a cadence for six months while running a company is hard in a boring, grinding way — and boring, grinding things are the first to go the week a large order arrives.

The usual answers are expensive. A marketer in-house in Belgium or the Netherlands lands somewhere around €55,000 to €80,000 a year all-in, and you still have to brief them every week. A full-service European agency typically runs €2,500 to €5,000 a month, and a fair slice of that buys account management rather than posts.

We built a third option: a dedicated Filipino marketing team working to your calendar — strategy, content, design and community management — from €595 a month. And if you would rather test the mechanism than the pitch, our entry offer is €1 a day. €30 a month, one post a day, one platform.

That offer is not a discount on a bigger package. It is this article sold as a product: a cadence held long enough that the weeks stop having holes in them, run by people whose job it is rather than by you at 08:40 on a Tuesday.

Compare the packages

Whether you hand it over or keep it in-house, change the target before you change the budget. Stop asking how to make a post go viral. Start asking how many of the next 26 weeks will have something in them — and whether you can honestly answer 20. If you want to talk it through first, a 15-minute intro call is free, and we will tell you plainly if you do not need us.

One post a day, held long enough to count

Our entry offer is €1 a day — €30 a month for one post a day on one platform. Full packages with strategy, content, design and community management start at €595. Book a free 15-minute intro call and we’ll tell you honestly whether we’re a fit.

Book Your Free Intro Call →

15 minutes · No commitment · Talk to a real human